2026 Housing Forecast: How Rates & Inventory Will Shape the Market
Posted by Lisa Kohl on
Stable prices, tighter inventory, and steady demand are shaping what could be a warm start to the year.
In Ada County, the median sold price finished December at $525,000, down nearly one percent from a year earlier. On its own, a year-over-year dip can sound like a directional change. For the full year, Ada County home prices increased 2.45% compared to 2024, reflecting normal single-digit appreciation rather than a rapid market reset.
The median home price in Canyon County rose to $435,000, up 6.47% from last year. Canyon County finished 2025 with prices up 6.41% year over year. That gap matters as Canyon County tends to be more affordability-driven, and when buyers are payment-conscious, demand often concentrates where monthly payments pencil…
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